Malawi U20s vs Zimbabwe U23s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
56.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
MSU
0 - 2
SUD
10%
19%
71%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
SUD
0 - 0
MSU
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
AGO
1 - 4
MSU
78%
15%
8%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MSU
1 - 2
AGO
13%
21%
66%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SWZ
1 - 1
MSU
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
MSU
0 - 0
ZIM
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
ZIM
1 - 5
ZAM
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CMR
3 - 0
ZIM
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 0
CMR
13%
20%
67%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
BWA
0 - 2
ZIM
43%
25%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |