Malawi U20s vs Sudan U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
KEN
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
DZA
3 - 0
REA
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
DZA
0 - 0
REA
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
JOR
0 - 0
REA
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
REA
0 - 3
SAU
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |