Málaga vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
FCB
2 - 1
MAL
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MAL
2 - 1
ESP
47%
27%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 3
MAL
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MAL
0 - 0
DEP
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ATM
0 - 2
MAL
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
XER
1 - 1
ESP
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
DEP
2 - 1
XER
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
XER
0 - 3
RMA
14%
21%
65%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ATH
3 - 2
XER
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
XER
2 - 1
MLL
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |