Málaga vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 0
MAL
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MAL
0 - 1
LAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
MAL
55%
25%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
AZA
3 - 0
MAL
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 2
HER
48%
25%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
INT
3 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
VIL
45%
27%
29%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 1
LEV
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
REU
0 - 1
VIL
16%
26%
58%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GIM
2 - 0
VIL
21%
26%
53%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |