Málaga vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
ZEN
2 - 2
MAL
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
OSA
0 - 0
MAL
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 2
RSO
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 1
MAL
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 2
RAY
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 1
BYM
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 1
VCF
27%
26%
47%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 2
BAT
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATM
40%
25%
36%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |