Málaga vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MLL
1 - 1
MAL
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MAL
0 - 0
VAD
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
OSA
2 - 2
MAL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 2
SEV
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ZAR
2 - 0
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 2
VAD
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SEV
3 - 0
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 2
CDT
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 2
XER
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |