Málaga vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
MAL
1 - 0
BET
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
GRA
1 - 0
MAL
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
MAL
1 - 0
UDS
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
LOR
0 - 2
MAL
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
MAL
2 - 0
XER
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
RJA
2 - 1
GRA
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
UDS
2 - 3
RJA
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
RJA
5 - 0
LOR
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
XER
2 - 0
RJA
41%
28%
30%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
RJA
1 - 1
MEL
61%
25%
15%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |