Málaga vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
MAL
2 - 0
MAR
80%
15%
6%
|
74 | 27 | 47 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
ROC
2 - 2
MAL
27%
28%
45%
|
74 | 22 | 52 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
MAL
1 - 0
JUV
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 22 | 52 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
ADR
1 - 1
MAL
22%
28%
50%
|
75 | 20 | 55 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
RJA
0 - 1
MEL
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
MMA
2 - 1
RJA
40%
31%
29%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
RJA
1 - 2
ECI
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
SRQ
0 - 0
RJA
33%
32%
35%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1994 |
CDO
0 - 2
RJA
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |