Málaga vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
MLL
0 - 1
MAL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
MAL
3 - 3
RMA
24%
25%
52%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
FCB
2 - 1
MAL
82%
12%
6%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
MAL
0 - 0
RAC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
ZAR
3 - 2
MAL
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
NUM
0 - 3
VCF
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
VAD
2 - 0
NUM
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 0
OVI
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 2
BET
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
ALA
2 - 2
NUM
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |