Málaga vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
16%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
MAL
1 - 2
GIM
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CEL
1 - 2
MAL
52%
26%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MAL
0 - 2
RSO
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
RCF
0 - 0
MAL
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
MAL
3 - 2
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
HER
1 - 2
POL
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
GIM
2 - 2
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
HER
5 - 1
EIB
57%
26%
17%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CEL
1 - 0
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
CAS
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |