Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-2
Málaga vs Getafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 0
MAL
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
GET
0 - 1
MAL
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAL
1 - 1
OSA
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RSO
3 - 2
MAL
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 1
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Getafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MLL
1 - 2
GET
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
GET
0 - 1
MAL
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GET
1 - 0
GRA
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 0
GET
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GET
1 - 0
FCB
8%
17%
75%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | +1 |