Málaga vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
MAL
4 - 1
QAT
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
WHU
0 - 2
MAL
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MAL
3 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PER
1 - 1
MAL
20%
25%
55%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
ADE
1 - 5
MAL
33%
27%
41%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
FIO
23%
28%
50%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 1
FIO
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
EST
0 - 1
FIO
26%
28%
46%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 2
TOR
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 1
FIO
24%
26%
51%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |