Málaga vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
NUM
2 - 1
MAL
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 0
MAL
95%
4%
1%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MAL
0 - 2
LEG
69%
20%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SEV
2 - 0
MAL
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MAL
3 - 3
ATH
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
EIB
1 - 2
CEL
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CEL
0 - 1
ATM
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 5
CEL
36%
25%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
CEL
4 - 3
PAC
59%
22%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
CEL
3 - 3
GIR
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |