Primera RFEF - Play Offs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Málaga vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAL
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RMC
1 - 2
MAL
36%
29%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 0
ANT
59%
26%
15%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAL
22%
28%
51%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 1
MAD
63%
25%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAL
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 2
FCB
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 1
CEL
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 0
MAJ
80%
14%
7%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 0
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |