Apertura Guatemala . Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Malacateco vs Xelajú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
DSA
2 - 1
TOR
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 0
SAC
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
COB
2 - 1
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 0
GUA
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 0
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 1
DSA
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 1
CHI
18%
26%
55%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
3 - 1
COM
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |