Malacateco vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
TOR
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 0
SOL
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 1
TOR
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 0
CHI
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
COB
1 - 1
TOR
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 2
SOL
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
NUE
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 1
IZT
20%
23%
56%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 0
NUE
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 1
SLC
22%
27%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |