Malacateco vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 1
DEP
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 2
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
MUN
24%
30%
46%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
63%
23%
15%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |