Tercera Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Mairena vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ALG
0 - 2
MAI
50%
26%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAI
0 - 1
ARC
45%
26%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 1
MAI
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MAI
2 - 0
REC
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ZAR
4 - 1
RIV
85%
11%
5%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
ZAR
17%
23%
59%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ZAR
6 - 0
STA
88%
9%
3%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
TAU
0 - 3
ZAR
14%
22%
64%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ZAR
3 - 1
BIN
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |