Mairena vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CAN
2 - 1
MAI
37%
27%
37%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MAI
2 - 5
EST
72%
17%
12%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
UTR
2 - 1
MAI
55%
26%
19%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MAI
4 - 0
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MAI
6 - 1
JDB
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
UDM
2 - 1
JDB
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
UDM
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
UDM
1 - 0
PIL
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 4
UDM
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
UDM
1 - 1
SJO
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |