Mainz 05 vs Würzburger Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 3
M05
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
M05
1 - 3
BVB
9%
15%
76%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
EIN
1 - 1
M05
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
M05
1 - 1
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
M05
2 - 1
BYM
3%
9%
88%
|
77 | 95 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
F95
1 - 2
WUR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
LJU
2 - 5
WUR
30%
22%
48%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
WUR
1 - 2
SVS
35%
23%
42%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
WUR
3 - 0
TSK
86%
11%
4%
|
59 | 14 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
WUR
1 - 1
PAD
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |