Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
BVB
1 - 2
M05
74%
17%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
M05
3 - 0
RBL
25%
24%
52%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
AUG
2 - 0
M05
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
M05
2 - 0
SCF
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
KOL
1 - 1
M05
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEV
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
BVB
19%
21%
60%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
STU
2 - 0
BRE
24%
22%
53%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
RBL
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
HAN
2 - 1
BRE
27%
23%
50%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |