Mainz 05 vs SV Wacker Burghausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 1
M05
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 0
M05
36%
26%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
M05
0 - 0
RWA
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
M05
0 - 0
OSN
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2004 |
FCN
2 - 2
M05
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SV Wacker Burghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
RWA
3 - 1
WAC
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
WAC
0 - 1
ARB
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
WAC
0 - 0
KSC
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
WAC
5 - 0
ROT
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
OSN
3 - 0
WAC
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |