Mainz 05 vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
S04
1 - 3
M05
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
M05
3 - 0
EIN
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FCN
0 - 0
M05
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
M05
1 - 0
MON
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HAN
2 - 0
M05
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
STP
1 - 8
BYM
8%
16%
76%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
KAI
2 - 0
STP
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
STP
1 - 3
BRE
18%
21%
61%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
WOL
2 - 2
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LEV
2 - 1
STP
78%
15%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |