Mainz 05 vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
AAA
1 - 0
M05
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
HAN
2 - 4
M05
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
M05
1 - 0
ROT
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
ULM
0 - 2
M05
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
M05
2 - 0
OSN
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
STP
4 - 1
ROT
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
ULM
1 - 4
STP
47%
24%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
STP
2 - 4
OSN
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2001 |
SAA
1 - 0
STP
32%
25%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
STP
3 - 0
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |