DFB Pokal . 1/64
Global 4-1
Mainz 05 vs SpVgg Andernach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.4%
9%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
9%
6.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
AND
1 - 1
M05
39%
20%
42%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
HOM
7 - 1
M05
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
M05
4 - 2
RVO
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1976 |
SVS
5 - 2
M05
48%
24%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1976 |
M05
1 - 5
SGF
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Andernach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
AND
1 - 1
M05
39%
20%
42%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1975 |
AND
0 - 2
GUT
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
BNE
7 - 0
AND
94%
5%
1%
|
26 | 67 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
AND
2 - 5
ALS
16%
20%
65%
|
27 | 62 | 35 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
TUS
1 - 0
AND
85%
11%
4%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |