Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
M05
0 - 2
WOL
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 1
M05
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
M05
0 - 2
EIN
19%
21%
61%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
BYM
5 - 2
M05
89%
8%
3%
|
75 | 96 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
M05
2 - 2
RTV
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
RBL
1 - 0
FCU
67%
20%
14%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 2
RBL
21%
22%
57%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
RBL
1 - 3
BVB
35%
24%
41%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
STU
0 - 1
RBL
14%
19%
67%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
AUG
0 - 3
RBL
12%
19%
69%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |