Mainz 05 vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 0
M05
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
M05
1 - 0
RBL
14%
19%
67%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ELV
2 - 2
M05
12%
18%
70%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
M05
3 - 2
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
M05
1 - 0
GFK
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SGF
1 - 1
ARB
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
STU
5 - 1
SGF
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BAB
2 - 2
SGF
4%
12%
83%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 2
SGF
68%
18%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
HOF
2 - 2
SGF
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |