Mainz 05 vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
2.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.3%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
89.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
14.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20.1%
0-4
11.3%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
14.9%
0-5
7.1%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
-5
9%
0-6
3.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.6%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
WOL
5 - 0
M05
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
M05
0 - 0
STU
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KOL
3 - 2
M05
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
AUG
2 - 1
M05
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
M05
50%
24%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BYM
3 - 1
BVB
71%
16%
12%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 3
BYM
2%
7%
91%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 1
VIL
81%
12%
6%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 0
AUG
89%
8%
3%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
BYM
8%
14%
78%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |