Mainz 05 Sub 19 vs Nürnberg Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 3
MAI
48%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
MAI
4 - 3
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BYM
1 - 3
MAI
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
MAI
3 - 1
GRE
64%
20%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 2
MAI
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Nürnberg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 3
NUR
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NUR
1 - 0
KAI
45%
25%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
BYM
6 - 2
NUR
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
NUR
0 - 1
GRE
40%
27%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
NUR
2 - 0
FRE
25%
26%
48%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |