UEFA Youth League . 1/64
Global 3-1
Mainz 05 Sub 19 vs Maribor U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 2
BYM
64%
18%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAI
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MAI
3 - 2
STU
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AUG
1 - 2
MAI
13%
17%
71%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MAI
4 - 2
SDH
93%
5%
2%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 1
KRK
65%
18%
18%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAI
45%
22%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
7 - 1
NAF
77%
14%
10%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |