Uefa Youth League 1/64

Global 3-1

Mainz 05 U19 vs Maribor U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 Maribor U19
37 ELO 41
12.6% Tilt 7%
8525º General ELO ranking 5061º
419º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
40.4%
Mainz 05 U19
21.9%
Draw
37.7%
Maribor U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
37.7%
Win probability
Maribor U19
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
Maribor U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 2
Bayern München U19
BYM
63%
18%
19%
37 30 7 0
04 Oct. 2023
MAR
Maribor U19
0 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
53%
21%
26%
35 43 8 +2
30 Sep. 2023
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
3 - 2
VfB Stuttgart U19
STU
48%
21%
31%
34 35 1 +1
24 Sep. 2023
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
1 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
12%
17%
71%
34 20 14 0
16 Sep. 2023
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
4 - 2
Sandhausen U19
SDH
93%
6%
2%
34 9 25 0

Matches

Maribor U19
Maribor U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
MAR
Maribor U19
4 - 1
NK Krka U19
KRK
68%
17%
15%
41 31 10 0
15 Oct. 2023
MUR
NS Mura U19
3 - 0
Maribor U19
MAR
43%
25%
33%
43 37 6 -2
08 Oct. 2023
MAR
Maribor U19
3 - 2
NK Bravo U19
BRA
67%
17%
16%
42 34 8 +1
04 Oct. 2023
MAR
Maribor U19
0 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
53%
21%
26%
43 35 8 -1
29 Sep. 2023
DOM
Domžale U19
0 - 1
Maribor U19
MAR
40%
26%
35%
42 38 4 +1