Maghreb Fes vs Olympic Safi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
13º
10º
47
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maghreb Fes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 2
IRT
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 1
MAG
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
WYD
1 - 0
MAG
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 1
HAS
45%
30%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 1
MAG
48%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Olympic Safi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 1
AJS
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 7 | 66 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 1
RCA
38%
30%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
CCR
37%
29%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
OCK
0 - 1
OLY
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 0
WYD
38%
30%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |