Magesi vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
14º
32
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
7.5% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MPU
0 - 0
MAG
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PIR
2 - 3
MAG
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 1
MAG
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 2
POL
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 0
MAG
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SSU
1 - 0
CHI
36%
28%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SSU
0 - 4
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
SUN
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 3
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 2
CHI
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |