Magallanes vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
70.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAG
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAG
0 - 0
NUB
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CUR
0 - 0
MAG
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
MAG
2 - 2
UNI
11%
17%
72%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
IQU
3 - 2
UCO
46%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
TOL
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
ULC
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
OHI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
ACS
0 - 3
UCO
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |