Magallanes vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1985 |
MAG
1 - 1
PEÑ
6%
22%
72%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 0
MAG
86%
10%
5%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 0
BVS
65%
18%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
BVS
92%
5%
3%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
BVS
4 - 0
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
BVS
3 - 1
EST
67%
18%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1981 |
BVS
0 - 0
PEÑ
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |