Mafra vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAF
27%
30%
43%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAF
3 - 0
GDR
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 3
MAF
16%
26%
59%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAF
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 1
MAF
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 2
LUS
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GDA
2 - 4
ALC
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
PRA
25%
24%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 1
GDR
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |