Madureira RJ vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
1 - 0
MAD
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
MAD
0 - 0
MOG
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
MAD
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 3
VIL
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MAD
2 - 1
DUQ
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
CAX
29%
29%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 3
GRÊ
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
MAC
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MOG
3 - 1
GRÊ
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
GRÊ
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |