Madureira RJ vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 3
MAD
24%
27%
49%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
MAD
3 - 0
RES
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 0
BOA
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
VAS
2 - 0
MAD
80%
15%
5%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 1
MAD
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 0
BOA
81%
14%
5%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
5 - 1
CAB
83%
13%
4%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
RES
1 - 2
FLA
13%
21%
66%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
4 - 0
BAR
85%
12%
3%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
FLA
13%
21%
67%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |