Madalena vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ENA
1 - 3
MAD
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAD
2 - 0
RIB
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 1
MAD
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAD
1 - 1
TUR
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CLA
3 - 0
MAD
67%
19%
14%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 1
NAL
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
URR
2 - 3
UCO
12%
18%
70%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
UCO
4 - 0
CAN
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
REA
1 - 2
UCO
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UCO
5 - 2
JES
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |