Madagascar vs RD Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1965 |
TZA
2 - 1
MDG
80%
12%
8%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
MDG
5 - 1
TZA
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 1963 |
TUN
2 - 1
MDG
76%
13%
11%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1963 |
MDG
3 - 1
LBY
26%
23%
52%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
CMR
1 - 3
COD
59%
19%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
COD
3 - 2
CMR
56%
19%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1965 |
GHA
4 - 1
COD
64%
18%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1964 |
CMR
2 - 1
COD
58%
19%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1963 |
COD
1 - 0
TUN
48%
21%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |