Madagascar vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
MAD
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MAD
3 - 0
SYC
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SYC
0 - 1
MAD
8%
17%
75%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 2
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
MAD
0 - 2
NAM
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
MAD
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SWZ
2 - 2
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
SWZ
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
71%
20%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
SWZ
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |