Mâcon vs Cournon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CLE
2 - 1
MAC
82%
12%
5%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 0
VIE
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ECH
2 - 0
MAC
78%
15%
7%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 3
BOU
15%
21%
64%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FEU
3 - 1
MAC
77%
16%
8%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cournon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
COU
3 - 1
CHA
37%
26%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
THI
1 - 3
COU
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CLE
1 - 0
COU
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
COU
3 - 1
VIE
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ECH
1 - 0
COU
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |