Mâcon vs Bourg-Péronnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
12º
12º
50
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BRC
3 - 1
MAC
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
LUS
30%
25%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 2
CSL
28%
21%
50%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
MAC
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FUR
2 - 0
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bourg-Péronnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BOU
3 - 2
BIE
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 3
ASS
19%
20%
62%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BOU
3 - 0
FCS
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 0
BOB
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BRC
2 - 1
BOU
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |