Mâcon vs Auxerre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
13º
8º
4
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
10º
|
3 | 50 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 48 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
|
3º
|
4 | 48 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 44 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 38 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 36 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 33 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 32 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 32 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 14 |
14º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation
|
25.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
ORL
2 - 0
MAC
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 0
SAE
42%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CLE
4 - 0
MAC
33%
24%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 4
CDE
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
OLY
0 - 1
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
AUX
3 - 1
HAL
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
YZE
1 - 1
AUX
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
AUX
4 - 2
IVR
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
STG
1 - 2
AUX
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
AUX
3 - 0
CSL
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |