Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
OIT
1 - 3
MAC
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 1
AVI
71%
20%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 2
KYO
48%
26%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GIF
0 - 2
MAC
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 0
MIT
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NAG
5 - 2
MAT
23%
27%
51%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NAG
7 - 4
EHI
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
VAN
1 - 2
NAG
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ROA
0 - 1
NAG
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
KYO
3 - 1
NAG
71%
20%
9%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |