J2 League round 32

Machida Zelvia vs Mito Hollyhock analysis

Machida Zelvia Mito Hollyhock
68 ELO 61
-9.3% Tilt 12.9%
409º General ELO ranking 1748º
Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
58.4%
Machida Zelvia
24.6%
Draw
17%
Mito Hollyhock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
Machida Zelvia
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
16.9%
Win probability
Mito Hollyhock
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Machida Zelvia
-6%
+19%
Mito Hollyhock

ELO progression

Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2018
VEN
Ventforet Kofu
0 - 2
Machida Zelvia
MAC
34%
27%
40%
68 66 2 0
26 Aug. 2018
MAC
Machida Zelvia
1 - 0
Gifu
GIF
66%
21%
13%
67 54 13 +1
18 Aug. 2018
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 - 1
Machida Zelvia
MAC
45%
25%
30%
67 68 1 0
12 Aug. 2018
MAC
Machida Zelvia
3 - 3
JEF United
JEF
55%
24%
21%
67 59 8 0
04 Aug. 2018
YOK
Yokohama
2 - 3
Machida Zelvia
MAC
39%
26%
35%
66 65 1 +1

Matches

Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2018
MIT
Mito Hollyhock
1 - 1
Matsumoto Yamaga
MAT
32%
29%
39%
60 67 7 0
26 Aug. 2018
FAG
Fagiano Okayama
0 - 1
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
46%
28%
26%
60 61 1 0
18 Aug. 2018
MIT
Mito Hollyhock
1 - 0
JEF United
JEF
40%
26%
34%
59 59 0 +1
11 Aug. 2018
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
2 - 0
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
49%
27%
24%
60 61 1 -1
04 Aug. 2018
TOK
Tokushima Vortis
1 - 0
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
54%
25%
21%
61 63 2 -1