J2 League Round 14

Machida Zelvia vs JEF United analysis

Machida Zelvia JEF United
58 ELO 66
0.4% Tilt 6.1%
397º General ELO ranking 968º
Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
35.1%
Machida Zelvia
28.3%
Draw
36.6%
JEF United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
Machida Zelvia
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.6%
Win probability
JEF United
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Machida Zelvia
+18%
-5%
JEF United

ELO progression

Machida Zelvia
JEF United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2012
KAT
Kataller Toyama
1 - 1
Machida Zelvia
MAC
35%
25%
40%
59 51 8 0
03 May. 2012
MAC
Machida Zelvia
0 - 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
52%
25%
23%
60 58 2 -1
30 Apr. 2012
YOK
Yokohama
2 - 4
Machida Zelvia
MAC
37%
27%
37%
59 55 4 +1
27 Apr. 2012
MAC
Machida Zelvia
0 - 1
Matsumoto Yamaga
MAT
48%
26%
26%
60 59 1 -1
22 Apr. 2012
VEN
Ventforet Kofu
1 - 1
Machida Zelvia
MAC
67%
20%
14%
59 67 8 +1

Matches

JEF United
JEF United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2012
JEF
JEF United
1 - 0
Ehime
EHI
61%
22%
17%
65 60 5 0
03 May. 2012
THE
Thespa Gunma
0 - 2
JEF United
JEF
36%
28%
36%
64 58 6 +1
30 Apr. 2012
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 2
JEF United
JEF
36%
29%
36%
64 59 5 0
27 Apr. 2012
JEF
JEF United
1 - 1
Kataller Toyama
KAT
78%
16%
7%
64 51 13 0
22 Apr. 2012
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 - 0
JEF United
JEF
39%
29%
33%
65 58 7 -1