Machhindra vs Manang Marshyangdi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
14º
2º
32
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machhindra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
HIS
1 - 3
MFC
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
POL
2 - 1
MFC
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
SAT
1 - 3
MFC
18%
20%
62%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
ARM
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
JYC
0 - 0
MFC
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manang Marshyangdi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
NRT
40%
23%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FRC
1 - 1
MAN
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
KHU
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
STA
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
CHU
49%
23%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |