Maceratese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
MAC
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
MAC
4 - 1
VIS
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 3
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
OLY
3 - 3
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
REC
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ACL
2 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +8 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
ASS
23%
28%
50%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 1
FER
71%
20%
10%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
SPE
21%
28%
51%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | -1 |