Q. Europa League Play-Offs Final
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
HAP
0 - 2
MTA
31%
25%
45%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
MTA
3 - 0
HAP
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BNE
2 - 1
MTA
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
MTA
2 - 1
PAN
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MTA
1 - 0
MPT
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
OSI
1 - 1
HKS
23%
28%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
HKS
0 - 4
DZG
32%
27%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
HKS
4 - 0
IST
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
HKS
3 - 1
PFC
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SPL
0 - 1
HKS
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |