Macaé Esporte vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
63.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
MAC
24%
23%
54%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 3
MAC
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 1
FRI
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
2 - 3
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
DUQ
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 1
RES
90%
8%
3%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
LIB
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
VAS
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 0
MAD
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | +1 |